Publications:

Argyle, Lisa P., Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, Alex Lyman, Justin Olcott*, Jackson Pond*, and David Wingate. Forthcoming. “Testing Theories of Political Persuasion Using Large Language Models.” PNAS.

Lyman, Alex, Bryce Hepner, Lisa P. Argyle, Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, and David Wingate. Forthcoming. “Balancing Large Language Model Alignment and Algorithmic Fidelity in Social Science Research.” Sociological Methods and Research.

Townsend, Kesley*, Kelsey Eyre Hammond*, Heather Walker*, Lisa P. Argyle, and Jeremy C. Pope. Forthcoming. “The Ideological Asymmetry of White Identity.” Journal of Politics.

Argyle, Lisa P. and Melanie Freeze. 2024. “The Role of Self-Threat and Self-Affirmation in Initiation of Political Conversations.” American Politics Research OnlineFirst, pp 1- 16. DOI: 10.1177/1532673X241263079

Diether, Elle*, Suzy Yi*, Lisa P. Argyle, and Ethan C. Busby. 2024. “The Political Psychology of Cancel Culture: Value Framing or Group Identity?” Political Research Quarterly OnlineFirst, pp 1 – 16. DOI: 10.1177/10659129241261374

Argyle, Lisa P., Chris Bail, Ethan Busby, Josh Gubler, Vin Howe*, Nancy Fulda, Chris Rytting, Taylor Sorensen, David Wingate. 2023. “Leveraging AI for Democratic Discourse: Chat Interventions can Improve Online Political Conversations at Scale.” PNAS. 120 (41): e2311627120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2311627120.
Open access available at: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2311627120

Aidan Combs, Graham Tierney, Fatima Alqabandi, Devin Cornell, Gabriel Varela, Andrés Castro Araújo, Lisa P. Argyle, Alexander Volfovsky, and Christopher A. Bail. 2023. “Perceived Gender and Political Persuasion: A Social Media Field Experiment during the 2020 US Democratic National Primary.” Scientific Reports.
Open access available at: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-39359-0

Argyle, Lisa P., and Michael J. Barber. 2024. “Misclassification and Bias in Predictions of Individual Ethnicity from Administrative Records.” American Political Science Review 118 (2): 1058-1066. DOI: 10.1017/S0003055423000229

Argyle, Lisa P., Ethan C. Busby, Nancy Fulda, Joshua Gubler, Christopher Rytting, and David Wingate. Forthcoming. “Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samples.” Political Analysis. DOI: 10.1017/pan.2023.2.
* PDF of the Arxiv Pre-print
* Media coverage at The Atlantic, BYU News, NYT Hard Fork Podcast

Argyle, Lisa P. and Jeremy C. Pope. 2022. “Political Polarization and Participation in the United States: The Crucial Role of Interpersonal Persuasion Behavior.” Public Opinion Quarterly 86 (3): 697-707 . Free download link.

Argyle, Lisa P., Rochelle Terman, and Matti Nelimarkka. 2022. “Religious Freedom in the City Pool: Gender Segregation, Partisanship, and the Construction of Symbolic Boundaries.” Politics and Religion. Published Open Access at: DOI:10.1017/S1755048322000086

Argyle, Daniel, Lisa P. Argyle, Vlad Eidelman and Philip Resnik. 2021. "Debate Reaction Ideal Points: Political Ideology Measurement Using Real-Time Reaction Data." Statistics, Politics and Policy 21 (1): 5-28. DOI: 10.1515/spp-2020-0012

Argyle, Lisa P., and Tali Mendelberg. 2020. "Improving Women's Advancement in Political Science: What We Know About What Works." PS: Political Science and Politics 53 (4): 718-722.   DOI: 10.1017/S1049096520000402

Matthew J. Salganik, and the Fragile Families Challenge Team. 2020. "Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117 (15): 8398-8403. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1915006117
* Correction issued Dec. 2, 2021: DOI: 10.1073/pnas.211870311

Bail, Christopher A., Lisa P. Argyle, Taylor W. Brown, John P. Bumpus, Haohan Chen, M.B. Fallin Hunzaker, Jamin Lee, Marcus Mann, Friedolin Merhout, and Alexander Volfovsky. 2018. “Exposure to opposing views on social media can increase political polarization.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (37): 9216 – 9221. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1804840115
* Media coverage in Washington Post, LA Times, New York Times, Fortune

Argyle, Lisa, Marcus Arrajj, Skylar Covich, Egidio Garay, Julian Gottleib, Heather Hodges, and Eric Smith. 2016. “Economic Performance and Presidential Trait Evaluations: A Longitudinal Analysis.” Electoral Studies 43(3): 52 - 62. DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2016.04.002

Book Chapters:

Shugars, Sarah, and Lisa P. Argyle. “Computational Political Psychology.” Forthcoming in Handbook of Innovations in Political Psychology, Edward Elgar Press, edited by Ethan C. Busby, Christopher F. Karpowitz, and Cara J. Wong.

Argyle, Lisa P. “The Impact of Donald Trump on Partisan Alignment with Social Identities.” Forthcoming in Reconsidering Parties and Partisanship, University of Michigan Press, edited by Christopher F. Karpowitz and Jeremy C. Pope.

Other Scholarly Work:

Han, Hahrie, with support from Lisa Argyle. April 2016. “A Program Review of the Promoting Electoral Reform and Democratic Participation (PERDP) Initiative of the Ford Foundation.” Ford Foundation. (Link to PDF)

Cowell-Meyers, Kimberly and Lisa Argyle. 2015. “2015 APSA Teaching and Learning Conference and Track Summaries: Curricular and Program Assessment.” PS: Political Science and Politics 48(3): 501 – 503.

Under Review:

“Arti- ‘Fickle’ Intelligence: Using LLMs as a Tool for Inference in the Political and Social Sciences,” with Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, Bryce Hepner, Alex Lyman, and David Wingate.

“How Will Advanced AI Systems Impact Democracy?” Team co-authored consensus review article. Lead author: Christopher Summerfield.

Working Manuscripts:

 “Defining Politics: How Understanding an Issue as Political impacts Political Discussion” with Elisabeth Anne Jarman*

“The Good Deliberative Citizen: How Partisanship Shapes Citizenship Norms About Deliberative Behaviors” with Chris Karpowitz and Ryan Davis

“ ‘OK, Boomer’: How Cable News Turned Senior Citizens into Political Influencers”

“Emotional and Physiological Elements of Persuasive Appeals,” with Chris Karpowitz and Ethan Busby

*denotes student co-author

Dissertation:

The Paradox of Persuasion: Interpersonal Influence in Everyday Conversation

Political scientists have been using individuals’ self-reported efforts to try to influence the votes of others as one indicator of political activism for more than a half-century. However, in spite of this widespread use, very little is known about the motivations of interpersonal persuasion.   This dissertation examines why some individuals try to influence the votes of others during the course of their everyday political conversations, while others are content to discuss politics without trying to persuade.  Although attempts to persuade are often treated as a form of campaign participation with a goal of influencing the outcome of the election, I find that the motivations for persuasion are more internal and interpersonal than the motivations of other forms of campaign involvement.  I argue that interpersonal persuasion should be treated as a form of discursive participation, with consequences for our understanding of public opinion and deliberation.